Tim’s Tax News on the Tenth – May 2022

Timothy M. Hughes • May 10, 2022

The IRS’ Tax Gap Estimates Should be Coming Out Soon

A magnifying glass with the word taxes written on it


The Internal Revenue Service periodically estimates the tax gap to gauge historical overall compliance of all types of taxpayers with their federal tax obligations. The Gross Tax Gap is the difference between the amount of tax owed by taxpayers for a given year and the amount that is actually paid timely for that same year. It represents, in dollar terms, an estimate of the annual amount of non-compliance with our tax laws.

 

In general, the IRS’ tax gap estimates dating back decades consistently show the United States enjoys a relatively high and stable voluntary tax compliance rate. Sustaining and improving taxpayer compliance is important because small declines in compliance cost the nation billions of dollars in lost revenue and shift the tax burden away from those who do not pay their taxes onto those who pay their fair share on time every year. Understanding the elements of the tax gap enables policymakers and tax administrators to make better decisions regarding how to allocate resources used to administer the tax code. All initiatives by the IRS to improve tax collection are intended to narrow the tax gap and increase compliance.


The most recent IRS study of the tax gap was in 2019 and was an estimate for tax years 2011, 2012, and 2013. (See chart below.) That report showed the nation's tax compliance rate was substantially unchanged from prior years. The average gross tax gap was estimated at $441 billion per year based on data from those three years. After late payments and enforcement efforts were factored in, the net tax gap was estimated at $381 billion.


The IRS’ revised tax gap estimates translate to about an 83.6%, of taxes paid voluntarily and on time, which is in line with recent levels. That percentage is essentially unchanged from a revised Tax Year 2008-2010 estimate of 83.8%. After enforcement efforts are taken into account, the estimated share of taxes eventually paid is 85.8% for both periods. And that percentage is in line with the TY 2001 estimate of 83.7% and the TY 2006 estimate of 82.3%.


The voluntary compliance rate has been relatively stable from the pre Great Recession time period through the Great Recession and for the few years after. It will be interesting to see the impact of Covid-19 on later years’ studies.

 

If you would like more details, please do not hesitate to call our office. Our office has been successful in helping taxpayers with IRS and IDOR collection problems for over 29 years. If you have a tax or debt problem, please contact me at 847-705-9698 or thughes@lavellelaw.com and find out how we can help you.


Are you receiving the Lavelle Law eNewsletter? Sign up today and receive valuable updates and perspectives on a wide range of legal issues: http://bit.ly/3bu7KXj


Lavelle Law, Ltd. is registered with the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation as an approved continuing education provider for CPE for CPAs and Enrolled Agents. If your organization is seeking CPE courses in the area of Business Law, Innocent Spouse Relief, IRS Collections, Tax Scams (including ID Theft), or other areas in tax law that can be taught at your office, please contact me at thughes@lavellelaw.com


A poster showing tax gap estimates for tax years 2011-2013

More News & Resources

Lavelle Law News and Events

Should Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce lawyer up? What would their prenup look like?
By Joseph A. Olszowka and Kristina Buchthal Alkass September 12, 2025
Taylor Swift’s engagement to Travis Kelce has made a big splash in the news. In this podcast, Lavelle Law family law attorneys Joe Olszowka and Kristina Buchthal Alkass discuss the importance of prenuptial agreements - and not just for the wealthy.
Who qualifies for the
By Timothy M. Hughes September 10, 2025
The U.S. Treasury Department issued a preliminary list of nearly 70 jobs that qualify for “no tax on tips.” The occupations include a wide range of services spanning from Rickshaw drivers to digital content creators.
Does the Expiration of the Statute of Limitations for a Mortgage Extinguish the Mortgage Lien?
By Steven A. Migala September 4, 2025
On August 20, 2025, the First District of the Illinois Appellate Court decided Chicago Title Land Trust Co. v. Watkin, 2025 IL App (1st) 241354 (August 20, 2025). At issue in Watkin was whether the expiration of the statute of limitations barring enforcement of a mortgage also extinguishes the mortgage lien.
New Illinois Small Estate Affidavit Law: Key Updates for 2025
By Nataly Kaiser August 26, 2025
The Illinois General Assembly has updated the Probate Act of 1975 to improve the small estate affidavit process for settling estates without formal probate. Effective immediately, this amendment offers significant benefits for Illinois residents managing a loved one's estate.
Illinois family laws help determine who gets to keep the pet when couples divorce.
By Joseph A. Olszowka August 25, 2025
A common consideration in a divorce case is who will get to keep the family pet. Illinois has a specific law that addresses this issue. In this video, divorce attorney Joe Olszowka explains the various factors the court considers when there is a pet involved in an Illinois family law case.
Lavelle Saves Homeowner from Real Estate Tax Bill Disaster
By Litigation August 20, 2025
Lavelle Saves Homeowner from Real Estate Tax Bill Disaster - In the end, our client clawed back ownership of his family’s home and was made whole on the attorney fees he was forced to pay to rectify this unfortunate situation.
A summary of NADA’s statement defending state franchise laws.
By Sarah J. Reusché August 14, 2025
Recently, OEMs like Tesla and Rivian implemented a direct-to-consumer approach that many state motor vehicle dealer laws are intended to prohibit. On May 27, 2025, the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA) submitted a Public Comment, defending state franchise laws.
Free Family Law Seminar in Schaumburg, IL
By Family Law August 11, 2025
Join Lavelle Law for an informative presentation tailored to individuals seeking expert guidance on critical family law matters. Our experienced family law attorneys will break down three key areas — prenuptial/postnuptial agreements, collaborative divorce, and child custody.
IRS outlined key points for tax year 2025 relating to the OBBBA provisions.
By Timothy M. Hughes August 10, 2025
On August 7, 2025, the IRS announced that, as part of its phased implementation of the July 4th One Big Beautiful Bill Act, there will be no changes to certain information returns or withholding tables for tax year 2025 related to the new law. The IRS outlined key relevant changes to tax filers effective for '25 - '28.
Saved or client $1 Million in Estate Tax
By Estate Administration July 30, 2025
Due to Lavelle’s extensive knowledge in estate and gift tax, we were able to generate a combined federal and Illinois estate tax savings of $1 million for the client.
More Posts